![]() If you've read any of my other analysis articles, you should be pretty familiar with these kinds of charts. You can tell immediately without looking at a chart that the NEW Challenge has drastically improved rewards. ![]() Let's take another look at those rewards where everything is converted into gem value with the above assumptions. For the old Challenge, the entry fee is actually 2250 gems, since you can pay with gold at 5 to 1 instead of 6.666 to 1. The fact you can't enter with 15K gold (only 20K) is one of the few drawbacks to the new Challenge.I just assume all packs are worth 20 gems. All players should be happy to spend 20 gems to get a random new set mythic, and most are fine spending 20 gems to get a R/M wildcard, so they probably have at least that much value. They're small corrections that are complicated to include. I don't worry about the 1/8th of the time you open a mythic or the 1/15 of the time you open a R/M wildcard (only in reward packs).You'll always have the chance to take at least 3 Rares/Mythics, and most drafts you'll end up with a few. Sometimes more than 3, sometimes less, but it should average out to 3 unless you're rare-drafting more heavily than everyone else, which you should definitely NOT do in a Draft Challenge. ![]() Mainly, this is so we can accurately compare Sealed events with Draft events, but it's a good approximation.
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